TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a designated polling source at an exact time. The result hinges on whether this margin meets certain numerical thresholds.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes if, at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 10, 2026, the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) equals or exceeds 8.4%. Specifically, any margin from below 8.4% up to and including values of 8.4%, 8.5%, 8.6%, 8.7%, 8.8%, 8.9%, 9.0%, or anything above 9.0% will result in a Yes outcome. The resolution depends solely on the precise numerical value of the margin at the specified timestamp, with no other conditions affecting the outcome.
