TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Generic congressional ballot on Nov 1, 2026?
kalshi

Generic congressional ballot on Nov 1, 2026?

Volume:
$576

8.4%

 - Kalshi

8.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 5:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

8.4%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
Yes
kalshi

8.3%

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
$181
Settled
No
kalshi

8.6%

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

8.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
$68
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 8.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
kalshi

8.7%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

8.8%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

8.9%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.9%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical public opinion survey conducted in the lead-up to the 2026 U.S. congressional elections. It focuses on measuring the difference in voter preference between two major political parties at a specific moment on election day. The result depends on how this difference compares to a predefined threshold.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026. If the margin is below 8.3%, exactly 8.3% through 8.9%, or strictly above 8.9%, the market resolves to Yes. No other conditions or outcomes are specified, and the resolution is strictly contingent on the precise numerical value of the margin at the defined time and date.