TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Google's weekly market share on OpenRouter will be observed for the same period. Analysts often view Google's performance as a bellwether for broader industry trends in AI model adoption.
Similar to the OpenAI event, this event defines seven sequential thresholds (23%, 24%, 25%, 26%, 27%, 28%, and 29%) for Google’s market share on OpenRouter as of the week ending August 16, 2026. If Google’s share surpasses any of these percentages, the respective market resolves to Yes. Resolution depends entirely on the week-ending data from OpenRouter. The secondary rule repeats the standard disclaimer regarding Kalshi’s lack of affiliation with the Governing League and trademark ownership.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will reflect the most recent, authoritative data on market share for the specified period, closing all positions based on that verified figure.
Key signals that could shift this market include major product announcements, changes in user adoption rates, competitive moves from rival platforms, and broader market trends affecting cryptocurrency usage. Any surprise data releases or partnerships involving Gemini are also likely to create price swings as traders reassess probabilities ahead of Aug 17, 2026.