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Gemini App Downloads in September
kalshi

What will be the result of Gemini App Downloads in September?

Volume:
$215,540

Above 70

 - Kalshi

Above 70 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 70

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,132
N/A
N/A
$4,507
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,924
N/A
N/A
$4,879
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,736
N/A
N/A
$4,736
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 30

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,601
N/A
N/A
$2,802
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 90

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,555
N/A
N/A
$19,389
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 110

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,248
N/A
N/A
$12,939
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 250

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,489
N/A
N/A
$6,978
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 270

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,821
N/A
N/A
$6,712
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 330

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,902
N/A
N/A
$2,387
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 210

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,522
N/A
N/A
$4,620
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 300

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,550
N/A
N/A
$4,336
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 280

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,929
N/A
N/A
$5,503
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 310

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,402
N/A
N/A
$3,779
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 290

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,514
N/A
N/A
$3,108
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 130

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,420
N/A
N/A
$3,978
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 320

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,008
N/A
N/A
$3,447
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 350

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,131
N/A
N/A
$3,860
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 230

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,688
N/A
N/A
$2,595
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 150

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,480
N/A
N/A
$1,694
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 190

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,988
N/A
N/A
$1,730
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 170

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks the performance of a specific application's user acquisition in a particular month, focusing on whether download figures exceed certain thresholds. It reflects potential growth trends and user engagement levels for the application during that period.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on whether the Carbon Arc Gemini App Downloads for September 2026 exceed specified thresholds (250, 270, 280, 290, 300, 310, 320, 330, or 350). Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome for each depends on whether the reported downloads surpass its respective value. The determination uses the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded for settlement purposes. The index compares year-over-year performance, where 100 indicates equal downloads to the same month last year, values above 100 show growth, and values below indicate decline. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Gemini App Downloads market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $26,019. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different download outcomes for September, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity in the Gemini App Downloads market.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may issue reports based on models and historical trends, traders adjust prices continuously based on new information, news, and sentiment — which can make the market odds appear more volatile or responsive to short-term developments.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official data releases or authoritative news sources that confirm the exact number of Gemini app downloads for September, ending uncertainty for all participants.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles: major product announcements, platform-specific updates, changes in user behavior due to competing releases, and any widely covered news affecting download trends. Traders will also watch early download reports, app store rankings, and social media buzz — all of which can cause rapid price swings as new information emerges.