TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.8b

24H VOL:

$153,964,051

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,815,744,871

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,809,858,743

498,684

Markets across

37,244

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,831

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Fitness Centers Ad Spend in October
kalshi

What will ad spend be in October?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 13, 2026, 1:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$66,497
Volume 24h:
$20,595N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$29,489
3%

Above 70

 - Kalshi

Above 70 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 19d:15h:37m

Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 70?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 20% 19 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 70

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$10,956
0%
119%
$2,475
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 30

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$19,467
0%
648,800%
$8,464
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 90

Trade
97%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$2,699
0%
45%
$1,554
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 115

Trade
86%
Yes 86¢No 21¢
7¢
N/A
$5,794
0%
27%
$2,009
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 110

Trade
84%
Yes 89¢No 34¢
23¢
N/A
$5,861
22%
80%
$2,609
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 125

Trade
29%
3%
Yes 42¢No 73¢
15¢
N/A
$6,907
28%
49%
$4,090
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 130

Trade
7%
Yes 38¢No 88¢
26¢
N/A
$361
0%
15%
$361
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 135

Trade
4%
Yes 8¢No 96¢
4¢
N/A
$445
0%
1%
$415
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 155

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$167
0%
280%
$125
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 140

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$3,606
22%
22%
$2,934
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 120

Trade
69%
Yes 55¢No 63¢
18¢
N/A
$10,234
7%
46%
$4,452
2w 5d 15h
active
kalshi

Above 50

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 15h
active
Total markets: 12

Description

This set of markets tracks the performance of Carbon Arc Fitness Centers' advertising expenditures for October 2026, measured as a year-over-year index. The index compares October 2026 ad spend to the same month in the previous year, with values above 100 indicating growth. Markets resolve based on whether the index exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting varying levels of growth.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Fitness Centers Ad Spend index for October 2026, which is measured year-over-year with 100 representing equal spending to the same month in the prior year. Values above 100 indicate growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. All markets will resolve using finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 5th calendar day after the end of October 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 90, above 110, etc.), and the market resolves to Yes if the index exceeds that threshold. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the fitness center ad spend market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes fluctuates over time, providing insight into where traders are placing their bets. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $4,210, and the total volume traded to date is $66,497. This allows you to gauge market interest and potential shifts in sentiment regarding ad spend in October.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts predict a moderate increase in ad spending due to seasonal trends, this market suggests a more cautious outlook. It’s important to remember that prediction markets represent the collective wisdom of traders, who may have access to different information or interpret data differently than traditional analysts. This difference in outlook can be valuable for a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at prices they determine. The price of a contract represents the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ad spend figures for fitness centers in October will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on data from reliable sources tracking advertising expenditure within the fitness industry. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's result.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major economic reports detailing consumer spending trends, announcements from large fitness chains regarding their marketing budgets, and shifts in overall advertising costs are all potential catalysts. Unexpected changes in consumer confidence or the release of new fitness technologies could also influence ad spend. Furthermore, any significant news related to the fitness industry’s performance in September could foreshadow October’s spending patterns and move this market.