TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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First Solar module volume sold in Q3
kalshi

What is First Solar's module volume sold in Q3?

Volume:
$206,256

Above 3800 mw

 - Kalshi

Above 3800 mw - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 4:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3800 mw

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,565
N/A
N/A
$5,069
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 4100 mw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,000
N/A
N/A
$4,631
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3700 mw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,791
N/A
N/A
$4,835
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 4000 mw

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,356
N/A
N/A
$3,027
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3900 mw

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,918
N/A
N/A
$2,338
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 5000 mw

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,121
N/A
N/A
$13,413
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 5200 mw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,879
N/A
N/A
$8,968
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 4800 mw

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,268
N/A
N/A
$5,933
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 5100 mw

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,529
N/A
N/A
$11,845
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 5300 mw

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,119
N/A
N/A
$5,960
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 4600 mw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,502
N/A
N/A
$5,673
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 4500 mw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,835
N/A
N/A
$4,300
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 4200 mw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,693
N/A
N/A
$2,240
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 5400 mw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,573
N/A
N/A
$3,979
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 4400 mw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,571
N/A
N/A
$2,048
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 4700 mw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,570
N/A
N/A
$2,400
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 4300 mw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,807
N/A
N/A
$1,571
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 4900 mw

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,160
N/A
N/A
$1,315
3mo 3w 3d
No
Total markets: 18

Description

First Solar's solar module sales volume for Q3 2026 will be measured against thresholds from 3,700 MW to 5,400 MW. The company's quarterly report will determine which threshold markets settle as Yes.

Kalshi

Multiple sequential threshold markets resolve based on First Solar Inc.'s officially reported module sales volume for Q3 2026. Thresholds range from 3,700 MW to 5,400 MW, with each market resolving to Yes if the reported figure exceeds its specific value. The highest threshold met determines the final resolution across all markets in this event.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the First Solar Q3 sales market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $34,594. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different sales volume outcomes for First Solar in the third quarter, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity for this specific prediction.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate models and long-term trends, traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on recent news, supply chain updates, and short-term demand signals, which can lead to notable differences in implied probabilities.

This market resolves around Feb 25, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The settlement will reflect the officially reported module volume for First Solar in Q3, closing all positions based on the verified figure.

Several signals could influence this market before it resolves on Feb 25, 2027. First Solar’s official earnings releases or guidance updates will be closely watched by traders. Broader solar industry trends, policy changes affecting renewable energy incentives, and supply chain developments may also shift expectations. Competitor performance and market demand fluctuations can impact perceptions of First Solar’s sales outlook, driving volume and price changes on Kalshi as new information emerges.