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$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

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events

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4,363

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BETA

Science and Technology

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?

polymarket

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?

Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM EST

Total volume:

$1,404

Volume 24h:

$0N/A

Liquidity:

$12,528

23%

Open interest:

$583N/A

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?

- Polymarket

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:08h:05m

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?

Amount

$

Trade on

polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 97.7¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% High Projected APY: 6,835%

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Markets

Details

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

polymarket

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?

96%

Yes 97.7¢

No 6¢

3.7¢

$12,528

$1,404

0%

0%

N/A

1d 8h 5m

Active

Total markets: 1

Description

The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.

Polymarket

The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts, resulting in a current top chance of 95.9% for the leading outcome. The market’s volume of $1,404 reflects trader interest, with price shifts driven by new information, campaign developments, and evolving voter sentiment leading up to Nov 4, 2026.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of votes will determine the winner, and the market settles based on official, widely accepted results. Any recounts or delays will not affect the market unless they call the outcome into serious doubt, in which case resolution may be postponed until clarity is restored.

Debates, endorsements, scandals, or shifts in polling data can all dramatically move this market. Economic announcements, local issues gaining national attention, or changes in campaign momentum may cause traders to re-evaluate probabilities. Additionally, events such as fundraising reports or voter registration numbers can influence sentiment. As the election nears, any development that affects voter confidence or turnout expectations is likely to trigger price swings.