TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?
- Polymarket
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election? - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:06h:55m
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?
$
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?
Description
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.
Polymarket
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to polling averages, this market often reflects a more aggressive view of front-runner strength when polls show tight races. Prediction markets incorporate betting behavior, news reactions, and fund-raising data that polls miss, sometimes widening the gap between the perceived leader and their closest rivals. If polls shift dramatically, this market can move quickly in response, but it also tends to stabilize around 97.0% for the current favorite, showing where trader confidence sits relative to public opinion.
On Polymarket, this market uses trader submissions to set its current probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The leading outcome shows a 97.0% chance, reflecting collective trader sentiment about who might win the Georgia Senate first-round outright. Volume of $683 shows trader interest, while 24-hour volume of $133 tracks recent activity spikes. Traders adjust positions based on polling updates, candidate news, and fundraising reports, all of which shift the implied odds in real time.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official election results, and the market settles based on who captures the most votes in the first round without needing a runoff. No additional criteria or external validation steps are required beyond publicly confirmed election data.
