TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track projected FanDuel app download performance for September 2026, comparing it against sequential thresholds to gauge relative growth or decline against the same month in the prior year. Outcomes hinge on whether reported download figures surpass specific numerical benchmarks.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc reported FanDuel App Downloads index for September 2026, comparing it to the same month in the prior year. A value above 100 signifies growth, while below 100 indicates decline. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., above 30, above 40, etc.), and if the reported index exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome. The index is a year-over-year measure where 100 represents parity with the prior year’s September, with higher values indicating growth and lower values indicating decline. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation or official connection with FanDuel, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official app download statistics from recognized sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor reputable news outlets and official announcements as the resolution date approaches to anticipate any last-minute shifts.
Several signals could impact this market in the coming weeks, including major promotional campaigns, app update releases, competitor activity, and shifts in user behavior due to seasonal trends. Any news regarding FanDuel’s marketing strategies, app performance improvements, or changes in user engagement could cause rapid price movements. Additionally, broader financial news affecting app store download patterns may also influence trader sentiment and volume on Kalshi as resolution nears.