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24H VOL:

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

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40,345

events

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4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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FanDuel App Downloads in October
kalshi

How many FanDuel app downloads in October?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 15, 2026, 1:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$68,747
Volume 24h:
$5,296
32%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$24,648
4%

Above 45

 - Kalshi

Above 45 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:09h:03m

Will FanDuel App Downloads for October 2026 be above 45 ?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 30% 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 45

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$4,031
0%
1%
$894
1w 5d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 25

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$9,025
0%
163%
$4,073
1w 5d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 35

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$6,198
17%
68%
$1,210
1w 5d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 55

Trade
9%
2%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$12,411
13%
181%
$7,212
1w 5d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 75

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$8,071
26%
70%
$1,879
1w 5d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 65

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$16,924
7%
79%
$4,589
1w 5d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 110

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$12,087
1%
273%
$4,790
1w 5d 9h
Active
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks projected user activity for a sports betting platform during a specific month, using a standardized measurement to gauge comparative performance against the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the recorded activity level surpasses various thresholds, reflecting different levels of growth or decline.

Kalshi

All markets in this event assess whether the Carbon Arc FanDuel App Downloads index for October 2026 exceeds specified numerical thresholds, with each threshold representing a distinct level of year-over-year growth. The index compares October 2026 downloads to those of the same month in the prior year, where a value of 100 indicates equal performance, values above 100 denote growth, and values below 100 signify decline. Determination for all markets occurs on the finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day following the end of October 2026. The markets resolve to "Yes" if the index surpasses their respective thresholds—25, 35, 45, 55, 65, 75, or 110—effectively creating a tiered structure where higher thresholds represent increasingly stringent conditions for growth. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data sourcing and timing, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with FanDuel or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the FanDuel app download market tracks the current prices of contracts representing predictions about October 2026 app downloads. You'll find a price history chart illustrating how the market has valued different outcomes over time, alongside the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $5,202. The total volume traded to date is $68,747. This allows participants to see how confidence in various download levels is evolving and gauge market activity related to this event.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Currently, the question is whether analysts anticipate a similar range of potential app downloads as reflected in this market. If the market prices suggest a significantly different outcome than what analysts predict, it could indicate that traders possess unique insights or are reacting to information not yet fully incorporated into traditional forecasts. Discrepancies can also emerge from differing risk appetites between market participants and analysts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the number of FanDuel app downloads in October 2026. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is for downloads to be above 35, though the chance percentage is not yet available.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the officially reported number of FanDuel app downloads during the month of October 2026. The exact figures will be sourced from publicly available data to determine whether the contracts predicting different download levels settle in the money or expire worthless. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any associated payouts following the resolution date.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major marketing campaigns launched by FanDuel, significant changes in sports betting regulations across key states, or the release of competing apps could all influence investor sentiment. Unexpected news regarding FanDuel’s partnerships or technological advancements could also drive price fluctuations. General economic conditions and consumer spending trends may also play a role, as they impact the overall demand for mobile applications. Any news impacting the broader sports betting industry is likely to affect this market.