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420,493

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Facebook App Downloads in August
kalshi

What will be the outcome of Facebook App Downloads in August?

Volume:
$1,878

Above 100

 - Kalshi

Above 100 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,266
N/A
N/A
$613
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 99.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the performance of Facebook App Downloads for August 2026 compared to the same month in the previous year. The index value indicates growth or decline relative to August 2025, with values above 100 signifying growth. Participants assess whether download numbers will exceed specific thresholds, reflecting expectations about user engagement and app usage trends.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the Carbon Arc Facebook App Downloads index for August 2026 exceeds one of several sequential thresholds (98, 98.5, 99, 99.5, or 100). Each market corresponds to a specific threshold, with a 'Yes' outcome if the reported index for August 2026 surpasses its respective threshold. The index measures year-over-year performance, where 100 indicates no change from August 2025, values above 100 denote growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Settlement relies on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded for resolution purposes. Kalshi clarifies it holds no affiliation with Facebook or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price movements for the Facebook app download market, along with the latest trading volume of $1,878 and 24-hour volume of $0. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different download outcomes for August, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment and activity.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on official download figures for August, ensuring an objective and transparent close. Traders should monitor reputable tech and analytics sources as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major announcements from the company, changes in user behavior due to new updates or competitor releases, and broader tech trends may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant media coverage or reports on app usage could cause rapid price adjustments, especially as August progresses and real-time data becomes available.