TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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ExxonMobil Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

ExxonMobil Monthly Credit Card Spend in September

Volume:
$34,482

Above 106

 - Kalshi

Above 106 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 106

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,362
N/A
N/A
$3,543
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,482
N/A
N/A
$1,580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 108

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,560
N/A
N/A
$4,393
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,364
N/A
N/A
$2,309
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 103

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,249
N/A
N/A
$1,630
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,028
N/A
N/A
$1,176
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,498
N/A
N/A
$1,454
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 98

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,470
N/A
N/A
$1,429
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 113

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,356
N/A
N/A
$1,543
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 118

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,300
N/A
N/A
$1,550
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 110.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$812
N/A
N/A
$805
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 115.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

These markets track ExxonMobil's credit card spending performance for September 2026, measured against various year-over-year growth thresholds. The outcomes depend on whether the reported spending index exceeds specific levels, indicating varying degrees of growth compared to the same month in the previous year.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc ExxonMobil Monthly Credit Card Spend index for September 2026, with each market having a distinct threshold for a 'Yes' outcome. The index reflects year-over-year changes in ExxonMobil's credit card spending, where 100 indicates equal spending to the same month last year, values above 100 show growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Determination for all markets will use the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026, and any corrections or revisions after settlement will not affect the outcome. The index is derived from Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year and updated daily. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with ExxonMobil, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official ExxonMobil disclosures or trusted financial databases that publish the exact September credit card spend figure, eliminating any ambiguity for participants.

Key signals include weekly or monthly corporate earnings reports from ExxonMobil that preview spending trends, broader economic indicators like consumer confidence or fuel price shifts, and analyst updates covering oil sector financial health. Any surprise announcements about credit line adjustments or major retail partnerships could also cause rapid price swings in this market as traders reassess expectations.