TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3
kalshi

What will Etsy's Q3 gross merchandise sales be?

Volume:
$6,699

Above $2.54 billion

 - Kalshi

Above $2.54 billion - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 9:16 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $2.54 billion

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,689
N/A
N/A
$1,226
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.58 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,003
N/A
N/A
$366
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.5 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
$418
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.62 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
$228
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.66 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,009
N/A
N/A
$408
3mo 3w 3d
No
Total markets: 5

Description

Etsy's quarterly gross merchandise sales reflect the total value of items sold on its platform during a specific three-month period, serving as a key indicator of the company's market performance and growth trajectory.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Etsy's reported gross merchandise sales (GMS) for Q3 2026. Multiple outcome thresholds are defined, each specifying a different sales figure above which the corresponding market would resolve to Yes. All thresholds are evaluated against the same official GMS report released by Etsy for the specified quarter. Kalshi clarifies it holds no affiliation with Etsy, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Etsy Q3 sales market dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for this prediction market, along with daily trading volume of $515. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different gross merchandise sales outcomes for Etsy in the third quarter, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and activity.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price for this market through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective view of the most probable sales figure range. The current top outcome price incorporates market analysis, recent company performance, and broader economic factors influencing Etsy's quarterly results. Volume of $6,699 supports these price movements.

This market resolves around Feb 25, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released financial data from Etsy for the third quarter, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process aligned with public records.

Key signals that could shift this market include Etsy’s upcoming earnings announcements, changes in consumer spending trends, macroeconomic data affecting e-commerce, and any major platform updates or policy changes from Etsy. Additionally, analyst revisions, investor sentiment shifts, and broader market volatility may all influence trader positioning and price movement as resolution approaches.