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410,482

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ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads in October
kalshi

Will ESPN app downloads grow in October?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 15, 2026, 1:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$67,183
Volume 24h:
$11,735N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$14,191
7%

Above 20

 - Kalshi

Above 20 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:07h:34m

Will ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads for October 2026 be above 20 ?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 23% 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 20

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$3,937
0%
0%
$3,087
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 35

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$19,353
0%
0%
$2,712
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 40

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$2,904
0%
0%
$1,435
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 45

Trade
97%
1%
Yes 98¢No 5¢
3¢
N/A
$17,376
22%
22%
$2,216
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 50

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
1¢
N/A
$12,401
19%
19%
$976
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 30

Trade
97%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$1,874
0%
0%
$332
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 85

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$9,338
244%
244%
$3,433
1w 5d 7h
Active
Total markets: 7

Description

These markets track the performance of the ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App in October 2026 by comparing download numbers to the same month in the previous year. The outcomes depend on whether year-over-year growth exceeds specific thresholds, with higher thresholds representing stronger performance requirements.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads index for October 2026, finalized by 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after October ends. The index measures year-over-year change relative to October 2025, where 100 indicates equal performance, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., above 20, above 30, etc.), and if the index exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same data source and resolution timing, with Kalshi explicitly stating no affiliation with ESPN or any underlying company.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the ESPN app downloads market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of different download outcomes for October. Currently, the total volume for this market is $67,183, with $5,159 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to see how sentiment is shifting and identify potential trading opportunities related to the anticipated performance of the ESPN app.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges for app download numbers, this market allows traders to express probabilities for various outcomes. If analysts predict a specific download figure, you can see how the market prices the chances of exceeding or falling short of that prediction. Discrepancies can highlight areas where the market believes analysts are overly optimistic or pessimistic about the ESPN app’s performance.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total ESPN app downloads in October. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. This means the odds you see are a real-time reflection of what a diverse group of participants believe, not a static prediction from a single source.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official ESPN app download numbers for October are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of downloads across all app stores. The market will determine whether the actual download count falls above or below a specified threshold, as defined by the market contract. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Major ESPN marketing campaigns promoting the app, significant sporting events driving app usage, or news regarding app updates and features could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected competitor activity, such as a new app launch from a rival sports network, could also impact the market. Furthermore, broader economic trends affecting consumer spending on entertainment and app subscriptions could play a role in how this market trades leading up to Nov 15, 2026.