TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

Volume:
$413,301

1000+

 - Polymarket

1000+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 5:10 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1000+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

880-919

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

960-999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

800-839

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

920-959

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

840-879

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

780-799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

700-719

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

680-699

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,596
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

720-739

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

760-779

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

600-619

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

560-579

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

580-599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

520-539

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

540-559

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500-519

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

640-659

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

740-759

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

620-639

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,575
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 46

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post 1000 or more times on X (formerly Twitter) during the month of October 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives a 93.5% probability to this outcome, with a 4.3% probability that he will post between 960 and 999 times. The market resolves based on the post count from https://x.com/elonmusk. Keep an eye on Musk’s posting frequency as we approach November 1, 2026, which is the date this market will be resolved based on his activity throughout October.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Elon Musk tweet count market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for how many tweets Elon Musk will post in October 2026. It displays the current top outcome, historical price trends, and 24-hour volume of $4,085 to help users monitor market sentiment and activity for this prediction.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of Elon Musk’s tweets posted during October 2026 will settle all positions, aligning payouts with the actual result.

Several developments could influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. Major announcements from Elon Musk, such as product launches or controversies, might affect his tweeting habits. Platform algorithm changes or policy updates could also alter posting frequencies. Additionally, global events, technical issues, or personal schedules may cause fluctuations. Traders will watch for any signals indicating shifts in activity levels, adjusting bets accordingly as new information arises. The market remains sensitive to real-time news and pattern changes in public communications.