TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

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4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend in September

Volume:
$18,924

Above 119.5

 - Kalshi

Above 119.5 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:17 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 119.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,352
N/A
N/A
$3,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 142.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,105
N/A
N/A
$2,360
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 135

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,931
N/A
N/A
$1,650
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 150.5

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,324
N/A
N/A
$719
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 110

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
$261
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 96.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
$453
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 127.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$209
N/A
N/A
$209
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 173.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,821
N/A
N/A
$2,122
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 160.5

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,252
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

These markets track Eli Lilly's projected credit card spending growth for September 2026, measured against specific thresholds. The outcomes depend on year-over-year changes reported by Carbon Arc, reflecting consumer spending trends through aggregated U.S. transaction data.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend index for September 2026, comparing it to various thresholds ranging from 96.5 to 173.5. The index measures year-over-year spending changes, where 100 indicates no change from the prior year, values above 100 show growth, and values below indicate decline. Determination for all markets uses the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded once the market is settled. The index is derived from Carbon Arc’s aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the previous year and updated daily. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with Eli Lilly, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Eli Lilly credit card spend market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume on Kalshi. It shows how traders are pricing the likelihood of different spending outcomes for Eli Lilly's credit card results in September. With a total volume of $18,924 and 24-hour volume of $5,537, it offers a live view of market sentiment and activity for this specific financial event.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released financial data from Eli Lilly, typically published in their standard corporate spending reports. Traders should monitor official announcements and verified financial disclosures leading up to that date to anticipate any last-minute shifts.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key company announcements from Eli Lilly — such as earnings previews, changes in spending policy, or major contractual developments — may influence trader sentiment. Broader economic indicators like consumer confidence reports, changes in interest rates, or sector-wide trends in pharmaceutical industry spending also often affect this type of market. Any unexpected news around the company's financial health or credit operations could cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.