TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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eBay gross merchandise volume in Q3
kalshi

eBay gross merchandise volume in Q3

Volume:
$3,367

Above $22.6 billion

 - Kalshi

Above $22.6 billion - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 4:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $22.6 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,618
N/A
N/A
$648
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $22.4 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,039
N/A
N/A
$698
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $22.8 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
$224
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $23 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$43
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $23.2 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
$80
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above $23.4 billion

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$16
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above $22 billion

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $22.2 billion

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

eBay's gross merchandise volume tracks the total value of items sold on its platform during a quarter. This figure serves as a key performance indicator for the company's marketplace health and competitive positioning. Analysts use it to evaluate eBay's ability to maintain seller activity and attract buyers in evolving online retail environments.

Kalshi

Multiple threshold markets are established for eBay's Q3 2026 gross merchandise volume. Each market defines a separate monetary threshold that must be exceeded for resolution to Yes. Consistent secondary language across all markets clarifies Kalshi's lack of formal relationship with eBay and establishes that all trademarks remain property of their respective holders. Determination depends entirely on whether the published figure meets or surpasses the precise threshold specified in each individual market's primary rule.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Feb 25, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final gross merchandise volume figure for eBay’s Q3 will be compared against the market’s defined bins to determine the winning outcome, based on officially released financial results.