TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the projected foot traffic performance of Dutch Bros for September 2026, using a specialized index that compares visitor numbers to the same month in the previous year. The index accounts for variables like weather and holidays to ensure accuracy, with higher values indicating stronger growth in customer visits compared to the prior year.
All markets in this event are determined by the Carbon Arc Dutch Bros Foot Traffic index for September 2026, which measures year-over-year changes in foot traffic relative to a baseline of 100 (equal to the prior year). Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 101 to 113) that must be exceeded for the outcome to resolve as 'Yes'. The index is calculated using mobile location data from over 200 million devices, normalized to account for seasonality, weather conditions, and holiday effects. The determination for all markets is based solely on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after the market settlement date will not alter the outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting collective expectations about Dutch Bros foot traffic in September. The market price adjusts based on new information such as weather patterns, promotional activity, or consumer behavior trends. Volume of $119,705 shows the level of interest and liquidity among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will compare actual foot traffic data for Dutch Bros during September against the market’s defined thresholds, closing the market based on objective, publicly available metrics.