TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee's financial position at the end of the third quarter of 2026 will be assessed based on cash reserves reported to federal authorities. This measurement reflects the committee's ability to support Democratic Senate candidates.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee's cash on hand as of September 30, 2026, according to official Federal Election Commission filings. The event establishes progressive thresholds at $20M, $25M, $30M, $35M, $40M, and $45M. Resolution uses only the first official or non-preliminary FEC release; subsequent revisions or corrections do not affect the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
While public polling focuses on voter preferences, this market reflects trader expectations about the DSCC's financial strength at the end of Q3. Prediction market odds capture economic interpretations, fundraising reports, and strategic moves that may not be reflected in traditional polls. Traders may price in different dynamics than pollsters, leading to divergent insights about campaign resources and potential electoral influence.
This market resolves around Nov 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on authoritative disclosures from the DSCC or official filings that clearly state the cash-on-hand balance as of the end of Q3.
Several signals could shift this market before Nov 20, 2026. Major fundraising announcements, high-profile donor events, or unexpected expenditure reports may influence trader expectations. Media coverage of the DSCC's financial health, polling trends affecting senatorial race budgets, and economic conditions impacting donor capacity also play a role. Any surprise changes in campaign strategy or federal election dynamics could cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess the likely cash balance.
