TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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DraftKings App Downloads in September
kalshi

DraftKings App Downloads in September

Volume:
$119,647

Above 145

 - Kalshi

Above 145 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 145

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,939
N/A
N/A
$7,679
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 85

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,152
N/A
N/A
$9,626
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 125

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,387
N/A
N/A
$5,480
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 105

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,711
N/A
N/A
$3,804
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 165

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,734
N/A
N/A
$9,042
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 195

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,322
N/A
N/A
$4,520
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 245

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,431
N/A
N/A
$7,327
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 185

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,100
N/A
N/A
$3,935
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 175

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,751
N/A
N/A
$5,403
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 205

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,187
N/A
N/A
$3,986
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 225

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,743
N/A
N/A
$2,498
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 215

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,191
N/A
N/A
$1,874
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

These markets track whether DraftKings will achieve specific year-over-year growth thresholds in app downloads for September 2026. The outcomes depend on independent reporting of download figures relative to the same month in the previous year. Each threshold represents a different level of growth performance.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for DraftKings App Downloads in September 2026, with no adjustments allowed after settlement for any corrections or revisions. The index compares September 2026 downloads to September of the prior year, where 100 indicates equal performance, values above 100 show growth, and values below indicate decline. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the reported index exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with DraftKings, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the DraftKings app download market. It shows how traders are pricing the likelihood of different download outcomes for the month of September. The interface updates in real time, reflecting shifts in market sentiment and trading activity. You can see the top outcome, probability percentages, and total volume of $119,647 to gauge interest. This single-venue view isolates Kalshi's unique market dynamics without any cross-platform aggregation.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official app store download data or reputable industry analytics firms that track user installations for the month of September. As the resolution date approaches, any verified figures released by trusted sources will lock in the market result, ending all trading activity.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it settles. Major marketing announcements, app updates, or celebrity endorsements might drive a surge in downloads, while technical issues or increased competition could suppress growth. Earnings reports from related companies, changes in user review scores, or seasonal usage patterns may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected news—positive or negative—will likely cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess the likelihood of various download outcomes.