TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
DraftKings App Downloads in October
kalshi

How many DraftKings app downloads in October?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 15, 2026, 1:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$83,212
Volume 24h:
$11,401
150%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$19,780
10%

Above 55

 - Kalshi

Above 55 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:04h:02m

Will DraftKings App Downloads for October 2026 be above 55 ?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 30% 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 55

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$4,801
0%
36%
$1,564
1w 5d 4h
Active
kalshi

Above 225

99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$8,914
2%
14%
$3,627
1w 5d 4h
Active
kalshi

Above 105

99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$4,837
0%
28%
$1,482
1w 5d 4h
Active
kalshi

Above 145

98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$13,025
47%
82%
$1,445
1w 5d 4h
Active
kalshi

Above 125

98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$1,397
0%
0%
$688
1w 5d 4h
Active
kalshi

Above 185

97%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$16,094
23%
60%
$1,726
1w 5d 4h
Active
kalshi

Above 165

97%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$13,150
45%
120%
$1,633
1w 5d 4h
Active
kalshi

Above 205

97%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$9,909
0%
49%
$3,564
1w 5d 4h
Active
kalshi

Above 465

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$11,085
0%
0.75%
$4,051
1w 5d 4h
Active
Total markets: 9

Description

These markets track whether DraftKings will achieve various levels of year-over-year growth in app downloads during October 2026. The thresholds represent different magnitudes of growth, with higher thresholds indicating more substantial increases compared to the same month in the previous year.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc DraftKings App Downloads index for October 2026, measured year-over-year relative to October 2025. The index value of 100 represents equal downloads compared to the prior year, with higher values indicating growth and lower values indicating decline. Final determination occurs at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day following the end of October 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the published index exceeds the respective threshold (55, 105, 125, 145, 165, 185, 205, 225, or 465), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with DraftKings, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the DraftKings app download market tracks the current prices for contracts representing predictions about October 2026 app downloads. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has valued different outcomes over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $11,401. Total volume traded to date is $83,212. This allows participants to see how sentiment is shifting and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific market.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the predictions embedded in this market to traditional analyst forecasts for DraftKings app downloads. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse information and can reflect real-time expectations that may differ from static analyst reports. If analysts predict a specific download range, comparing that to the probabilities implied by the prices on Kalshi can reveal whether the market is more or less optimistic than the consensus view. The market's wisdom-of-the-crowd approach can provide a unique perspective.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the number of DraftKings app downloads in October 2026. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. The current top outcome, 'Will DraftKings App Downloads for October 2026 be above 55?', has a chance percentage of 99.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of DraftKings app downloads reported for the month of October 2026. The specific threshold for determining the winning outcome is defined within the market contract on Kalshi. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the resolution process is complete.

Several factors could significantly influence the DraftKings app download market. Major marketing campaigns launched by DraftKings, changes in state regulations regarding online sports betting, and the release of new features within the app are all potential catalysts. Competitive pressures from other sports betting platforms, as well as broader economic conditions impacting consumer spending, could also play a role. Any news related to DraftKings' partnerships or acquisitions could also move this market as traders adjust their expectations.