TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of Dr. Pepper sales in September 2026 compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the reported growth index exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting consumer purchasing trends through point-of-sale data collected by Carbon Arc.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Dr. Pepper Point of Sale Growth index for September 2026, with each market requiring the index to exceed a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 89 to 101). The index measures year-over-year sales growth, where a value of 100 indicates no change from the prior year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Determination for all markets will rely on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026, and any subsequent corrections or revisions will not affect the resolution. The index is derived from a point-of-sale receipt panel that captures in-store and online purchases through receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period in the prior year. The panel updates daily, providing near real-time data. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no affiliation with Dr. Pepper and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Dr. Pepper’s September sales performance. While analysts may incorporate a wide range of historical data and models, traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on recent market signals, news, and sentiment, which can lead to divergence or alignment depending on emerging economic indicators and company-specific developments.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the sales growth figure for September is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by official company disclosures or reputable financial news sources at that time.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 10, 2026, including unexpected changes in consumer spending patterns, retail partnerships announced by Dr. Pepper, or broader economic shifts affecting beverage sales. Monthly sales reports from competitors, inventory adjustments by major retailers, and seasonal promotional campaigns could also shift trader sentiment. Any surprise data releases or market corrections impacting consumer confidence may cause rapid movements in this market’s odds as resolution approaches.