TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
DoorDash App Downloads in September
kalshi

What will be the DoorDash app downloads change in September?

Volume:
$102,235

Above 98

 - Kalshi

Above 98 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 98

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,279
N/A
N/A
$6,733
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,184
N/A
N/A
$6,171
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,206
N/A
N/A
$6,608
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 103

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,069
N/A
N/A
$6,639
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 102

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,369
N/A
N/A
$5,811
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,451
N/A
N/A
$5,289
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 96

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,361
N/A
N/A
$6,060
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 106

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,327
N/A
N/A
$10,132
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 104

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,364
N/A
N/A
$5,959
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 112

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,348
N/A
N/A
$2,555
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 110

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,969
N/A
N/A
$2,110
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 108

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,309
N/A
N/A
$1,309
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks projected year-over-year changes in DoorDash app downloads for September 2026, using a specific index where 100 represents no change from the prior year. Values above 100 signify growth in app downloads compared to the same month in the previous year, while values below 100 indicate a decline.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are resolved based on the Carbon Arc DoorDash App Downloads index for September 2026, with each market having a distinct threshold for resolving to 'Yes.' If the reported index value exceeds the specified threshold—ranging from 96 to 106—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The determination for all markets relies solely on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after the market settlement date will not alter the outcome. The index measures year-over-year performance, where a value of 100 indicates identical download numbers compared to the same month in the previous year, values above 100 denote growth, and values below 100 signify a decline. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with DoorDash, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the DoorDash app download market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $27,190. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different download outcomes for September. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity, giving users a clear view of sentiment and trading patterns specific to this market.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate earnings reports, user growth trends, and macroeconomic factors, traders on Kalshi price in real-time signals and sentiment. This can lead to divergence, especially around key events like product announcements or changes in consumer behavior that affect app usage.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on authoritative data sources tracking app downloads for the September period. Traders should monitor official announcements and verified statistics that confirm the actual performance metrics used for settlement.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution. Key catalysts include quarterly earnings reports from DoorDash, changes in app pricing or features, broad shifts in consumer spending habits, and any major marketing campaigns. Additionally, macroeconomic news affecting discretionary spending may influence trader sentiment. Events such as competitor app updates or widespread platform outages could also create volatility as participants reassess download expectations.