TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The Democratic National Committee's financial health is tracked through quarterly filings with the Federal Election Commission. This event measures how much cash the DNC has available at the end of the third quarter of 2026, which reflects their fundraising success and spending decisions during that period.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the DNC Services Corp / Democratic National Committee's cash on hand as reported in official Federal Election Commission filings as of September 30, 2026. The event establishes seven tiered thresholds at $8 million, $11 million, $14 million, $17 million, $20 million, $23 million, and $26 million. Each threshold operates independently: if the DNC's cash on hand exceeds a given threshold amount, the corresponding market resolves affirmatively. Resolution uses only the first official or non-preliminary FEC release of the relevant cash-on-hand statistic; subsequent revisions, corrections, or updates do not affect the resolution outcome. The tiered structure allows assessment of the DNC's financial position across a range of possible cash levels at quarter-end.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting collective expectations about the DNC's financial reporting at the end of Q3. The market price adjusts dynamically based on new information, trading volume of $8,000, and shifts in trader sentiment leading up to resolution.
This market resolves around Nov 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on the official DNC financial disclosure for Q3, which is publicly released and then matched against market-defined thresholds to settle all positions.
Key signals include quarterly fundraising announcements, major campaign expenditures, media reports on DNC financial health, and any unexpected events such as large donations or spending surges. Each of these can shift trader expectations and thereby move this market as participants reassess the likely cash balance by the end of Q3.
