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$154.3b

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411,051

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5

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Devonport Mayoral Election Winner
polymarket

Who will win the Devonport Mayoral?

Volume:
$18,823

Alison Jarman

 - Polymarket

Alison Jarman - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 4:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Alison Jarman

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Steve Martin

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

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Settled
No
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Candidate B

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No
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Candidate C

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Settled
No
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Candidate D

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Settled
No
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Candidate E

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Settled
No
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Candidate F

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Settled
No
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Candidate G

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Settled
No
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Candidate H

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Settled
No
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Candidate I

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N/A
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Settled
No
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Candidate J

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Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

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Settled
No
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Candidate L

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Settled
No
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Candidate M

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Settled
No
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Candidate N

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Settled
No
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Candidate O

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N/A
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N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
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Candidate P

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Settled
No
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Candidate Q

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Settled
No
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Candidate R

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Settled
No
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Candidate S

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Settled
No
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Candidate T

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N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
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Candidate U

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N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
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Candidate V

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N/A
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N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate W

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N/A
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—
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Polymarket

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Devonport mayoral race tracks the probabilities of different candidates winning, as expressed by traders. It displays the current odds, the price history of the market, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $2,599. The total volume traded on this market is $18,637. Users can see which candidate is currently favored and how the market's sentiment has shifted over time. This allows for a dynamic view of expectations surrounding the election.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling data. While polls aim to capture a snapshot of current voter intentions, this market aggregates the informed opinions of individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like poll weighting, sampling bias, and the ability of market participants to incorporate a wider range of information. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information or changing narratives than polling averages, offering a potentially more forward-looking assessment of the race.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the Devonport City Council following the mayoral election. The candidate who receives the most votes, as certified by the official election authorities, will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 28, 2026. Major endorsements from influential figures, unexpected policy announcements from candidates, and significant shifts in public opinion revealed through new polling data are all potential catalysts. Debates between candidates often lead to price adjustments as traders react to performance and messaging. Any unforeseen events, such as a candidate withdrawing from the race or a major scandal emerging, could also cause substantial movement in the market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding the evolving dynamics of the Devonport mayoral race.