TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the spot price of a specific DDR5 memory module exceeds various thresholds by a set date. The outcome depends on real-time market data for the component, reflecting potential trends in technology and supply dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 spot price at 4 PM ET on October 9, 2026, as reported by Ornn. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data before the deadline will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the price are ignored, and all values are evaluated in USD, rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a unique threshold, and resolution to 'Yes' occurs only if the spot price exceeds the respective threshold. The consistent application of these rules ensures transparent and uniform resolution across all thresholds.
On Kalshi, the odds for this market reflect trader sentiment about where the DDR5 16Gb price will land by Oct 9, 2026. These odds can differ from traditional analyst forecasts, which may be influenced by broader market trends, supply chain reports, or tech industry outlooks. Comparing the two offers a view of where crowd wisdom sees the market versus established research houses.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price for this market through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the top outcome and its chance percentage. The current pricing reflects the collective assessment of market participants about the likely price range for DDR5 16Gb modules at the end of Oct 9, 2026. Volume of $0 over the last 24 hours shows how active trading has been.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price point will be determined by authoritative industry sources or official product listings that reflect the market price of DDR5 16Gb modules at that time.
Several signals could shift this market before Oct 9, 2026. These include new industry reports on memory demand, changes in manufacturing output, major tech company announcements about product launches or pricing, and broader economic factors affecting semiconductor valuations. Any unexpected shifts in supply chain dynamics or consumer adoption rates may also cause traders to adjust their positions.