TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's financial position at the end of the third quarter of 2026 will be assessed based on cash reserves reported to federal authorities. This measurement reflects the committee's capacity to support Democratic House candidates.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's cash on hand as of September 30, 2026, according to official Federal Election Commission filings. The event establishes progressive thresholds at $30M, $35M, $40M, $45M, $50M, $55M, and $60M. Resolution uses only the first official or non-preliminary FEC release; subsequent revisions or corrections do not affect the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Unlike traditional polling averages that measure voter preferences, this market reflects trader expectations about the DCCC’s financial position at the end of Q3. While polls gauge public opinion, this market prices in perceived financial strength based on fundraising reports, economic conditions, and political events, often showing different trends from survey data.
On Kalshi, this market uses a continuous double auction where traders submit bids and asks to determine the current implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects collective trader expectations about the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's cash position at the end of Q3, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading activity. Volume of $3,444 provides insight into market engagement, while the current top outcome shows which scenario — above or below a key threshold — is favored by participants.
This market resolves around Nov 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will be based on official filings or authoritative news sources announcing the DCCC’s cash on hand balance as of the end of Q3.
Several signals could shift this market before Nov 20, 2026. Quarterly fundraising reports, media coverage of Democratic campaign performance, and major electoral developments may all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected financial developments — such as large donations, spending announcements, or economic shifts affecting donor behavior — could also cause rapid price changes. As the resolution date approaches, updated polling data and analyst forecasts will likely drive further adjustments in market odds.
