TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective wisdom of traders, and is constantly adjusting based on new information and changing sentiment. Currently, the most actively traded range is 140-159 posts, indicating strong belief in that outcome among market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of posts made by CZ on X (formerly Twitter) between October 9 and October 16, 2026, will be counted and compared to the different outcome ranges offered in this market. The outcome will be determined by the actual number of posts made during that period, as publicly documented. This provides a clear and objective basis for settlement.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any announcements from CZ regarding his social media strategy, changes to X’s platform policies, or major news events impacting his public image could all influence trading activity. Increased media coverage of CZ or his company, Binance, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected legal developments or regulatory actions could also play a role. Traders will continually reassess their positions based on these factors, leading to fluctuations in the odds and volume of this market.
