TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:06 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to polling averages for this specific event, as there are no widely available public polls forecasting the posting frequency of CZ. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and incentives than traditional polls, potentially leading to different assessments of probability. This market reflects the collective judgment of informed traders willing to put their capital at risk, which can provide a unique perspective compared to surveys relying on self-reported opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of posts made by CZ on his X (formerly Twitter) account between October 6th and October 13th, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a count of all posts made by his verified account during this period. Any disputes regarding the count will be assessed against publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any official statements from CZ regarding his planned activity on X during that timeframe would be a major catalyst. Changes in his posting habits in the months leading up to October 2026 could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected events impacting CZ or the broader cryptocurrency space could also shift the market, as these might affect his online engagement. Finally, major news stories or controversies could prompt increased or decreased posting activity, influencing the price of this market.
