TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:14h:47m
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
$
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 30, 12:00 PM ET and November 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 30, 12:00 PM ET and November 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to polling averages provides insight into the wisdom of the crowd versus expert or public opinion. While polls capture a snapshot of current sentiment, this market aggregates the informed beliefs of individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies between poll results and the market price can signal areas where the market anticipates events differently than traditional surveys suggest. It’s important to note that polls and prediction markets address different questions – polls ask what people *think* will happen, while this market reflects what people are *willing to bet* will happen.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of traders. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up its price, increasing its implied probability, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of posts made by CZ between October 30 and November 6, 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a count of publicly available posts across his verified social media accounts. The specific threshold for resolution will be determined by the market's defined ranges, and the outcome will be the range that accurately reflects the final post count. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the settled outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any official statements from CZ regarding his posting schedule or social media activity would be a key driver. Major news events or controversies involving CZ or his companies could also influence his online engagement, and therefore the market price. Unexpected changes in social media platform policies or algorithms could affect posting frequency as well. Finally, general shifts in public attention or online discourse related to CZ's areas of influence could also cause traders to reassess their positions and move the market.
