TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling averages, as there aren’t readily available polls specifically forecasting CZ’s posting frequency. However, prediction markets often incorporate information beyond what polls capture, such as insider knowledge and real-time sentiment. Therefore, discrepancies between this market and potential future polls could reflect differing information sources and analytical approaches. This market represents a forward-looking assessment based on collective intelligence, while polls represent a snapshot of current opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of posts made by CZ on X (formerly Twitter) between October 20 and October 27, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a count of all publicly visible posts made by CZ’s verified account during that period. The specific number of posts will determine which outcome is considered correct, and shares will be settled accordingly. No further details about the resolution process are available at this time.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any announcements from CZ regarding his social media strategy or planned absences could shift the odds. Major events impacting the cryptocurrency industry, where CZ is a prominent figure, might also influence his posting activity and, consequently, the market. Unexpected regulatory developments or significant news related to Binance could also be catalysts. Furthermore, changes in public sentiment towards CZ or the broader crypto space, as reflected in social media trends, could move this market.