TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:02 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 2, 12:00 PM ET and October 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 2, 12:00 PM ET and October 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding CZ’s posting activity.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of posts made by CZ on his social media accounts between October 2nd and October 9th, 2026, will be counted and compared against the various outcome ranges offered in this market. The outcome will be determined by the publicly verifiable post count, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or account for any losses based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market between now and Oct 9, 2026. Any announcements from CZ regarding his social media strategy, changes in his posting habits leading up to the event window, or major news events that might influence his online activity could all cause shifts in the market. Unexpected platform outages or changes to social media algorithms could also play a role. Furthermore, increased media coverage or public discussion surrounding CZ’s online presence could drive greater trading volume and volatility in this market.
