TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 2:01 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share, and this price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The total volume traded in this market is $13,239, demonstrating the level of interest and activity surrounding this event.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of posts made by Changpeng Zhao on X (formerly Twitter) between October 13th and October 20th, 2026, will be counted to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will rely on publicly available data, ensuring transparency and objectivity. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential impact on the market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any announcements from Changpeng Zhao regarding his social media strategy, changes to X’s platform policies, or major news events impacting the cryptocurrency space could all influence trading activity. Increased media coverage of CZ or his company, Binance, could also drive volume and price fluctuations. Furthermore, any perceived shifts in CZ’s public engagement or online presence leading up to the resolution date will likely impact the odds in this market.
