TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR)?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR)?

Oct 15, 2026, 9:08 AM EST - Nov 4, 2026, 9:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$12,659
Volume 24h:
$811
169%
Liquidity:
$1,672
3%
Open interest:
$1,685N/A

90.5% to 92%

 - Polymarket

90.5% to 92% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:12h:42m

CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?

49%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 57¢ buys you 175 shares | Odds: 49% Total Payout: $175 | Net Profit: $75 Multiplier: 1.75x | ROI: 75% APY not meaningful Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

90.5% to 92%

Trade
49%
Yes 57¢No 60¢
17¢
$361
$5,396
0.19%
38%
N/A
1d 12h 42m
Active
polymarket

89% to 90.5%

Trade
35%
13%
Yes 36¢No 66¢
2¢
$260
$3,242
32%
108%
N/A
1d 12h 42m
Active
polymarket

92% to 93.5%

Trade
13%
2%
Yes 20¢No 95¢
15¢
$340
$2,053
0%
66%
N/A
1d 12h 42m
Active
polymarket

93.5%+

Trade
9%
3%
Yes 16.5¢No 98.9¢
15.4¢
$400
$1,264
2%
26%
N/A
1d 12h 42m
Active
polymarket

<89%

Trade
9%
6%
Yes 16.3¢No 98.7¢
15¢
$310
$705
0%
49%
N/A
1d 12h 42m
Active
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to CVS Health's medical benefit ratio (MBR) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to CVS Health's medical benefit ratio (MBR) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the CVS Health MBR market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the trading volume for this market is $904, and the total volume is $12,659. You can see how the implied probability of different medical benefit ratio outcomes changes over time, providing insight into what traders believe is most likely. The dashboard offers a real-time view of market sentiment regarding CVS Health's financial performance for the third quarter.

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a different outcome than many traditional analyst forecasts for CVS Health’s Q3 medical benefit ratio. While analysts’ estimates vary, this market reflects the collective judgment of traders who are actively putting capital at risk. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are based on models and assumptions, whereas this market incorporates a wider range of information and real-time reactions to news and events. Discrepancies between this market and analyst expectations can highlight areas of disagreement or uncertainty.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the final medical benefit ratio. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome being correct. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares on Polymarket, and is not influenced by any external factors or benchmarks.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the officially reported medical benefit ratio for CVS Health’s Q3 earnings release. The final reported MBR will be the determining factor, and the market will settle to 100% for the outcome closest to the reported value. Traders should monitor CVS Health’s investor relations website for the official earnings release to understand the final outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding changes in healthcare policy, unexpected increases in medical claims, or significant announcements from CVS Health about their cost management strategies could all impact trader sentiment. Additionally, broader economic indicators, such as inflation or unemployment rates, could influence the perceived risk associated with healthcare spending. Earnings reports from competitors in the healthcare industry could also provide comparative insights and shift trading activity in this market.