TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Costco Foot Traffic in September
kalshi

Costco Foot Traffic in September

Volume:
$71,482

Above 94

 - Kalshi

Above 94 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 94

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,224
N/A
N/A
$2,648
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,507
N/A
N/A
$6,636
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 94.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,949
N/A
N/A
$2,825
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,822
N/A
N/A
$3,925
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,724
N/A
N/A
$992
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 96

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,669
N/A
N/A
$5,216
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 97

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,099
N/A
N/A
$4,282
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,953
N/A
N/A
$2,899
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,734
N/A
N/A
$2,309
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 99.5

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,868
N/A
N/A
$2,243
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 97.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,159
N/A
N/A
$1,770
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98.5

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,454
N/A
N/A
$1,032
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 96.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,318
N/A
N/A
$914
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

The event tracks Costco's foot traffic performance for September 2026 using a specialized index that compares visitor numbers to the same month in the previous year. The index accounts for variables such as weather patterns, holiday schedules, and seasonal trends to provide a normalized measurement of customer engagement. Higher index values reflect increased traffic compared to the prior year, offering insight into Costco's retail performance dynamics during that period.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are determined by the Carbon Arc Costco Foot Traffic index for September 2026. The index measures year-over-year changes in foot traffic, with 100 representing equal traffic to the same month last year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 94, above 94.5, etc.), and if the reported index exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes. The determination is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026. Any corrections or revisions made after the market settlement will not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using mobile location data from over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days as the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Costco foot traffic market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $17,820. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for foot traffic at Costco during September, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity without needing to check multiple sources.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who bet on Costco's foot traffic each day. While analysts may issue reports based on surveys or historical trends, this market updates continuously as new information emerges — like weather patterns, promotions, or economic data — which can shift expectations faster than formal forecasts.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the foot traffic figures are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final numbers will be compared against the market's defined categories to determine which outcome occurred, bringing closure to all positions held at that time.

Events that could shift this market include major Costco promotions, unexpected changes in consumer behavior due to weather or health concerns, and broader economic indicators like gas prices or disposable income trends. Any news that affects shopping habits — whether positive or negative — may cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the odds toward different outcomes.