TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 07d:06h:20m
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These markets track the performance of Coors Light beer sales in October 2026 compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the year-over-year growth in point-of-sale data, measured by Carbon Arc, exceeds specific thresholds. The data reflects both in-store and online purchases captured through receipt scanning and rewards apps.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Coors Light Point of Sale Growth index for October 2026, with each market requiring the index to exceed a specific threshold (ranging from 87 to 95). The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 indicates no change from the prior year, values above 100 indicate growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Determination occurs on the finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the second calendar day following the end of October 2026. The index is derived from a point-of-sale receipt panel that tracks in-store and online purchases via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available. Kalshi is not affiliated with or connected to the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates an ability to incorporate information quickly, potentially outperforming traditional forecasts, especially as new data emerges. However, analyst predictions can provide valuable context and alternative perspectives on the factors influencing Coors Light’s sales performance. It’s useful to consider both sources when forming your own informed opinion about the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders, and the market price reflects the highest buy order and the lowest sell order. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the implied probability of the event occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of positive sales growth for Coors Light. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of market expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported point of sale growth for Coors Light during the month of October. The specific data source used for verification will be publicly available at the time of resolution, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual sales figures.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding Anheuser-Busch InBev’s marketing campaigns for Coors Light, competitor activities, or broader economic trends impacting consumer spending could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected shifts in weather patterns, particularly in key Coors Light consumption regions, or major sporting events could also play a role. Furthermore, any reports on beer industry trends or consumer preferences related to light lagers could shift the odds in this market.