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Consumer Electronics Ad Spend in September
kalshi

How much will ad spend be in September?

Volume:
$48,216

Above 110

 - Kalshi

Above 110 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 110

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,596
N/A
N/A
$3,096
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 116

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,558
N/A
N/A
$1,888
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 114

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,795
N/A
N/A
$2,350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 112

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,761
N/A
N/A
$1,516
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 146

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,568
N/A
N/A
$5,056
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 130

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,506
N/A
N/A
$502
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 138

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,061
N/A
N/A
$1,874
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 140

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,921
N/A
N/A
$1,114
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 122

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,716
N/A
N/A
$986
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 144

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,168
N/A
N/A
$1,673
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 128

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,815
N/A
N/A
$489
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 132

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,522
N/A
N/A
$891
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 124

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,402
N/A
N/A
$888
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 126

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,329
N/A
N/A
$1,184
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 136

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,315
N/A
N/A
$1,185
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 142

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,256
N/A
N/A
$1,256
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 134

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$847
N/A
N/A
$775
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$550
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 118

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
$512
Settled
No
Total markets: 19

Description

The event tracks projected consumer electronics advertising expenditures for a specific month, comparing them against incremental growth thresholds. Participants assess whether spending will surpass various benchmarks relative to the previous year's levels. The outcome hinges on reported data from an independent measurement source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Consumer Electronics Ad Spend index for September 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 122, above 124, etc.), and if the reported index value exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome. The index is a year-over-year measure where 100 indicates equal spending to the same month last year, with values above 100 signifying growth and below 100 indicating decline. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the consumer electronics ad spend market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $48,216 and a 24-hour volume of $11,955. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of activity, helping participants make informed decisions about buying or selling contracts.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for consumer electronics ad spend. However, the collective wisdom of traders in this market often reflects a different perspective than traditional surveys or expert opinions. If analysts broadly predict a certain level of spending, this market will reveal whether traders believe that prediction is accurate, or if they foresee a different outcome based on their own research and insights. Discrepancies can highlight areas of disagreement or uncertainty.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices through their bids and asks. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate assessments, as profitable trading relies on correctly predicting the final outcome of the consumer electronics ad spend market.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the total ad spend for consumer electronics in September, as reported by a reputable industry analysis source. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the final, verified spending figures. The exact determination will be based on publicly available data and industry standards for calculating ad spend.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major product launches from key consumer electronics companies, unexpected economic data releases affecting consumer spending, and shifts in advertising strategies by large brands are all potential catalysts. Furthermore, any news regarding supply chain disruptions or changes in consumer confidence could influence trader sentiment and move the market. Keep an eye on industry reports and financial news for updates that could affect the predicted ad spend for September.