TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q3
kalshi

Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q3

Volume:
$2,865

Above 7 million

 - Kalshi

Above 7 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 4:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 7 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,230
N/A
N/A
$634
4mo 1d
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.5 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
4mo 1d
Yes
kalshi

Above 7.5 million

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$516
N/A
N/A
$311
4mo 1d
No
kalshi

Above 8 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
$400
4mo 1d
No
kalshi

Above 9.5 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
$63
4mo 1d
No
kalshi

Above 9 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
$26
4mo 1d
No
kalshi

Above 8.5 million

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Coinbase's user activity in Q3 2026 will be a critical metric for assessing the cryptocurrency exchange's growth trajectory. Monthly transacting users reflect both retail and institutional engagement with digital asset platforms. Strong user numbers can signal expanding adoption of cryptocurrency services and increased market confidence in blockchain-based financial activity.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Coinbase Global Inc.'s reported monthly transacting users in Q3 2026 against sequentially increasing thresholds from 6.5 million to 9.5 million users. If the reported transacting users exceed any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The structure creates a tiered evaluation where higher thresholds represent more ambitious growth targets, allowing participants to assess probabilities across a range of potential user engagement levels. All thresholds are evaluated against the same official user figure reported for the quarter.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Coinbase user count market shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,156. It provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and market activity specifically for this prediction, allowing users to monitor how the probability of different user count outcomes evolves over time.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks based on their expectations for Coinbase’s monthly transacting users. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate of all participant activity, with volume of $2,865 indicating liquidity and interest. Price adjustments happen constantly as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Mar 4, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final user count will be determined by official Coinbase disclosures or trusted third-party financial data providers, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.

Several signals could shift this market before Mar 4, 2027. Key events include Coinbase’s quarterly earnings reports, changes in cryptocurrency market conditions that affect user behavior, regulatory announcements impacting trading activity, and any major product launches or service disruptions. Each of these can cause rapid reassessments among traders, potentially moving odds and volume significantly as the resolution date approaches.