TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different view than many traditional analyst forecasts regarding Coca-Cola’s Q3 organic revenue growth. While many analysts predict a modest increase, this market indicates a wider range of potential outcomes are being considered by traders. It’s important to note that analysts often rely on models and company guidance, while this market incorporates a broader spectrum of information and real-time sentiment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions about macroeconomic factors, consumer behavior, and Coca-Cola’s specific performance.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different revenue growth outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more traders bet on a particular outcome, its price will increase, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations for Coca-Cola’s Q3 performance.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Coca-Cola Q3 organic revenue growth figure is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the non-GAAP organic revenue growth percentage reported by the company in its official earnings release. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and how it aligns with their predictions after the company publishes its results. This provides a clear and objective determination of whether the market correctly predicted the revenue growth.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any revisions to economic forecasts, particularly those related to consumer spending and inflation, could impact expectations for Coca-Cola’s revenue. Unexpected news regarding key ingredient costs or supply chain disruptions could also shift the market. Furthermore, any pre-earnings whispers or analyst upgrades/downgrades could influence trader sentiment. Finally, broader market trends and investor risk appetite can also play a role in the pricing of this market.