TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
CO-03 House Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
opinion

Who will win the CO-03 House election?

Oct 19, 2026, 10:22 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Jeff Hurd (R)

 - Opinion

Jeff Hurd (R) - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:05h:15m

Jeff Hurd (R)

65%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 65¢ buys you 154 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $154 | Net Profit: $54 Multiplier: 1.54x | ROI: 54% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Jeff Hurd (R)

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 15m
Active
opinion

Dwayne Romero (D)

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 15m
Active
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the CO-03 House election tracks the implied probability of different outcomes, the price history of the market, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $0 and the total volume traded to date is $0. The dashboard allows users to see how the market is currently pricing the likelihood of each candidate winning, and how those probabilities have shifted over time. It’s a central place to monitor activity and understand the collective prediction of users on Opinion.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the CO-03 House election. The price of each contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the election's likely result. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and adjust expectations accordingly, offering a unique perspective compared to static polls or expert opinions.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the CO-03 House election is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results certified by the relevant election authorities. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the official winner. The market’s resolution is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to determine the final result of the election.

Several factors could significantly shift the dynamics of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Major events like candidate debates, significant fundraising announcements, or unexpected endorsements could all influence trader sentiment. Changes in national political trends, key economic indicators, or even breaking news related to the candidates could also cause the market to react. Additionally, the release of new polling data, even if it contradicts existing trends, could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust the probabilities reflected in this market.