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Claude App Downloads in September
kalshi

What will be the result of Claude App Downloads in September?

Volume:
$76,086

Above 1800

 - Kalshi

Above 1800 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1800

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,828
N/A
N/A
$4,582
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1650

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,375
N/A
N/A
$3,756
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1300

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,594
N/A
N/A
$7,594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1550

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,580
N/A
N/A
$2,188
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1450

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,855
N/A
N/A
$2,005
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1500

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,028
N/A
N/A
$2,628
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1700

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,913
N/A
N/A
$3,233
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1600

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,917
N/A
N/A
$2,189
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,011
N/A
N/A
$2,011
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1900

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,396
N/A
N/A
$3,634
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,147
N/A
N/A
$2,600
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2100

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,440
N/A
N/A
$3,822
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

The market tracks whether Claude App Downloads in September 2026 exceed various thresholds. Outcomes hinge on reported figures from Carbon Arc, with growth measured against the same month in the previous year.

Kalshi

Multiple markets assess whether the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads for September 2026 surpass specific thresholds (1300, 1400, 1450, 1500, 1550, 1600, 1650, 1700, and 1800). Each market resolves to Yes if the reported value for September 2026 is above its respective threshold. The determination is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc, and any corrections or revisions after settlement do not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year performance, where 100 indicates equal downloads compared to the same month last year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with or connected to the underlying company, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Claude App Downloads market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $12,499. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different download outcomes for the month, offering a visual snapshot of market sentiment and activity around the Claude App Downloads market.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate broader trends and historical data, traders adjust positions rapidly based on new information, potentially leading to tighter or more volatile pricing. This can result in notable differences between the two, especially around key product announcements or usage spikes.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially reported download figures for the relevant period, closing all positions based on the actual results.

Several signals could shift odds before resolution, including major product updates, celebrity endorsements, media coverage, or changes in user behavior following new features. Any announcement impacting user acquisition or app store rankings may cause rapid repricing. Additionally, broader tech trends or competitor activity could also influence trader sentiment and volume in this market as the Oct 15, 2026 approaches.