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$154.4b

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413,109

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Chipotle total restaurant count in Q3
kalshi

What is Chipotle's total restaurant count in Q3?

Volume:
$15,535

Above 4260

 - Kalshi

Above 4260 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 4:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4260

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,107
N/A
N/A
$771
3mo 2w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 4250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$145
3mo 2w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 4280

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,928
N/A
N/A
$3,688
3mo 2w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 4270

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,435
N/A
N/A
$2,590
3mo 2w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 4290

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,712
N/A
N/A
$347
3mo 2w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 4320

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$784
N/A
N/A
$400
3mo 2w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 4310

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
$140
3mo 2w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 4300

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
$58
3mo 2w 4d
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks Chipotle's restaurant expansion performance during a specific quarter, focusing on whether the company surpasses various operational milestones. The outcome reflects the company's growth trajectory and ability to scale its physical presence.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple sequential thresholds for Chipotle's total restaurant count reported for Q3 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold above which the outcome resolves affirmatively. The resolution hinges entirely on the precise figure disclosed by Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. for that quarter, with higher thresholds representing increasingly ambitious expansion targets. All markets share the same reporting period and source requirements, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria across all threshold-based outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume for the Chipotle restaurant count market. It visualizes how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for Chipotle's restaurant count in Q3. The display includes current top outcome chances and volume of $15,535 and $3,348, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment and activity as the event approaches.

Currently, this market reflects trader sentiment through its implied probability, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often assess Chipotle's expansion strategy using earnings reports, guidance, and industry trends. Traders on Kalshi may react more quickly to news or rumors, leading to short-term differences between market odds and consensus analyst estimates.

This market resolves around Feb 19, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be based on official Chipotle disclosures or reputable financial data providers, closing all positions once the quarter ends and results are publicly confirmed.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Feb 19, 2027. Earnings reports, geographic expansion news, or changes in franchise agreements may influence trader sentiment. Economic factors like inflation or consumer spending trends could also impact expectations for new openings or closures. Any major operational updates from Chipotle — including management changes or strategic pivots — may cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the likely restaurant count for Q3.