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Chipotle Foot Traffic in September
kalshi

What will be Chipotle's foot traffic index in September?

Volume:
$70,755

Above 104.5

 - Kalshi

Above 104.5 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 104.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,737
N/A
N/A
$8,832
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 103

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,468
N/A
N/A
$7,198
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 105

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,650
N/A
N/A
$2,637
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,454
N/A
N/A
$4,717
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 103.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,507
N/A
N/A
$4,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 102.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,172
N/A
N/A
$1,281
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 108

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,085
N/A
N/A
$4,783
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 105.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,079
N/A
N/A
$3,026
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 108.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,151
N/A
N/A
$4,260
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 107.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,808
N/A
N/A
$4,134
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 107

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,418
N/A
N/A
$2,341
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 106

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,918
N/A
N/A
$3,121
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 106.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,308
N/A
N/A
$856
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

The event tracks projected customer traffic for Chipotle restaurants in a specific month using a specialized index. The index compares expected visits to the same month in the previous year, with values above 100 indicating growth. Outcomes depend on whether the index exceeds various thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are resolved based on the Carbon Arc Chipotle Foot Traffic index for September 2026, which measures year-over-year changes in customer visits. The index is calculated using mobile location data from over 200 million devices, normalized for factors like seasonality, weather, and holidays, and matched to the same calendar days as the prior year. Each market has a unique threshold (ranging from 102.5 to 108.5), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the first reported index value for September 2026 exceeds its respective threshold. Post-settlement corrections or revisions to the index do not alter the outcome. The index value of 100 represents equal traffic to the prior year, with higher values indicating growth and lower values indicating decline.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Chipotle foot traffic market on Kalshi shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $5,259. It provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and liquidity for this market, helping users monitor how the prediction market evaluates expected foot traffic changes at Chipotle locations during September.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expected outcomes. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and macro factors, traders in this market price in near-term signals and sentiment shifts, which can lead to divergence or alignment depending on recent news and data releases.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will reflect actual foot traffic metrics for Chipotle during September, providing a clear, data-driven conclusion to the market’s predictions.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including same-store sales reports, consumer sentiment surveys, national holidays or events that affect dining habits, and any major news regarding Chipotle’s operations or marketing campaigns. Each of these factors may cause traders to adjust their expectations, influencing price movements as the September period approaches.