TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

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4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Chipotle Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

Chipotle Credit Card Spend in September

Volume:
$12,232

Above 98

 - Kalshi

Above 98 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:14 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 98

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,344
N/A
N/A
$3,178
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 96

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,140
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,147
N/A
N/A
$3,251
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 105

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,600
N/A
N/A
$1,600
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 102

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 87

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 90

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 92

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 94

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

These markets track projected credit card spending trends for Chipotle in September 2026, using a year-over-year index to gauge growth or decline compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcomes depend on whether spending exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting potential consumer behavior shifts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for Chipotle's credit card spend index in September 2026. The index measures year-over-year change, with 100 indicating equal spending to the prior year, values above 100 showing growth, and values below 100 indicating decline. Each market has a distinct threshold; if the reported index exceeds the specified level, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Post-settlement corrections or revisions do not alter the outcome. The data source is Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, updated daily. Kalshi bears no official affiliation with Chipotle or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chipotle September spending market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $10,552. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing Chipotle's credit card spend expectations for September, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity for this specific financial event.

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more nuanced or forward-looking view of Chipotle's September credit card spend. While analysts may rely on historical data and macro trends, traders in this market incorporate real-time signals and expectations, sometimes leading to divergence. Monitoring both can provide a broader perspective on market sentiment versus institutional outlooks.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will match official financial data releases, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process aligned with standard market practices.

Several signals could influence this market before Oct 14, 2026. Key drivers include Chipotle’s quarterly earnings releases, same-store sales reports, broader economic indicators affecting consumer spending, and any major corporate developments such as product launches or partnerships. Market participants will also watch consumer sentiment surveys and dining-out trends for early clues.