TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3
kalshi

Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3

Volume:
$6,505

Above 2%

 - Kalshi

Above 2% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 4:21 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,602
N/A
N/A
$620
3mo 2w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,073
N/A
N/A
$903
3mo 2w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 0%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$688
N/A
N/A
$350
3mo 2w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above -1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$515
N/A
N/A
$265
3mo 2w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$609
N/A
N/A
$415
3mo 2w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 4%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$12
3mo 2w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
3mo 2w 4d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks whether Chipotle's quarterly performance shows growth in sales at existing locations. Investors and analysts often watch these figures to gauge customer demand and operational efficiency. A positive outcome indicates that Chipotle has successfully maintained or expanded its market presence during the specified period.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. reports a comparable restaurant sales increase of above -1.0%, above 0.0%, above 1.0%, above 2.0%, above 3.0%, above 4.0%, or above 5.0% for Q3 2026. Essentially, any reported increase—no matter how small—triggers a Yes outcome, reflecting the broad threshold set across all defined percentage benchmarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chipotle sales growth market tracks the real-time odds and price movements surrounding whether Chipotle will report an increase in comparable restaurant sales for the third quarter. It also displays current trading volume of $6,505 and 24-hour volume of $2,663, letting users monitor market sentiment and activity as the quarter progresses toward public results.

This market resolves around Feb 19, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Chipotle’s official third-quarter earnings release will provide the comparable restaurant sales figure, against which the market’s contractual criteria will be evaluated to determine whether an increase has occurred.

Key signals include Chipotle’s monthly same-store sales updates, management commentary during investor calls, macro-economic data affecting consumer spending, and competitive actions from rival restaurant chains. Any surprise menu launches, pricing changes, or supply-chain updates could also shift trader sentiment and move the odds in this market as the quarter concludes.