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$333,432,169

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

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4,654

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Financials
Chick-fil-A Credit Card Spend in September
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What will be the Chick-fil-A credit card spend in September?

Volume:
$22,188

Above 102

 - Kalshi

Above 102 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:14 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 102

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,399
N/A
N/A
$3,331
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 93

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,394
N/A
N/A
$2,394
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 96

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,755
N/A
N/A
$1,505
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 98

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,306
N/A
N/A
$794
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$605
N/A
N/A
$575
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$554
N/A
N/A
$493
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 99

100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 97

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
$223
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 108

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,949
N/A
N/A
$3,016
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 105

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,517
N/A
N/A
$2,482
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 114

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,994
N/A
N/A
$1,952
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 111

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,041
N/A
N/A
$1,029
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

These markets assess whether Chick-fil-A's credit card spending in September 2026, measured against year-over-year changes, will exceed specific thresholds. The outcomes depend on aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction data reported by Carbon Arc for that month.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for the Chick-fil-A Credit Card Spend index for September 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from above 93 to above 105), and if the reported index exceeds that threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Post-settlement corrections or revisions to the reported data will not alter the outcome. The index reflects year-over-year changes in spending, with 100 indicating equal spending compared to the same month in the prior year, values above 100 signifying growth, and values below 100 indicating decline. The data is derived from Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, updated daily.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chick-fil-A credit card spend market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $8,789. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different spending outcomes for the month, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity for this specific financial event.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate macro trends and historical data, traders adjust prices based on recent signals and perceived near-term shifts, which can lead to divergence or alignment depending on the availability of new information.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially released financial data covering the relevant period, ensuring an objective and transparent close based on real-world results.