TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:14 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether Chick-fil-A's credit card spending in September 2026, measured against year-over-year changes, will exceed specific thresholds. The outcomes depend on aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction data reported by Carbon Arc for that month.
All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for the Chick-fil-A Credit Card Spend index for September 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from above 93 to above 105), and if the reported index exceeds that threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Post-settlement corrections or revisions to the reported data will not alter the outcome. The index reflects year-over-year changes in spending, with 100 indicating equal spending compared to the same month in the prior year, values above 100 signifying growth, and values below 100 indicating decline. The data is derived from Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, updated daily.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate macro trends and historical data, traders adjust prices based on recent signals and perceived near-term shifts, which can lead to divergence or alignment depending on the availability of new information.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially released financial data covering the relevant period, ensuring an objective and transparent close based on real-world results.