TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Chick-fil-a Credit Card Spend in October
kalshi

How will Chick-fil-a card spend perform?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$42,157
Volume 24h:
$5,131N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$15,621
0.79%

Above 94

 - Kalshi

Above 94 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:00h:15m

Will Chick-fil-a Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 40% 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 94

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 4¢
3¢
N/A
$3,251
0.34%
13%
$338
1w 4d
Active
kalshi

Above 86

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$680
0%
46%
$227
1w 4d
Active
kalshi

Above 90

Trade
97%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$580
0%
0%
$253
1w 4d
Active
kalshi

Above 98

Trade
45%
7%
Yes 47¢No 61¢
8¢
N/A
$8,071
1%
28%
$5,412
1w 4d
Active
kalshi

Above 102

Trade
7%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
N/A
$11,123
0.38%
7%
$2,758
1w 4d
Active
kalshi

Above 105

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$4,969
0%
31%
$2,749
1w 4d
Active
kalshi

Above 103

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
N/A
$2,819
0%
210%
$1,389
1w 4d
Active
kalshi

Above 104

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$6,424
0%
28%
$1,846
1w 4d
Active
kalshi

Above 106

Trade
3%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$4,241
0%
64%
$649
1w 4d
Active
kalshi

Above 110

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d
Active
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the performance of Chick-fil-a's credit card spending for a specific month compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the spending growth exceeds certain thresholds, reflecting consumer behavior and market trends.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the Carbon Arc Chick-fil-a Credit Card Spend index for October 2026 exceeds specified thresholds. The index measures year-over-year changes in U.S. credit and debit card transactions specifically tied to Chick-fil-a, with 100 representing equal spending to the prior year. Values above 100 denote growth, while values below 100 indicate a decline. All markets resolve based on the finalized Carbon Arc value recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day following the end of October 2026. The index is derived from Carbon Arc’s aggregated transaction panel, which updates daily. No affiliation exists between Kalshi and Chick-fil-a, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. Markets at different thresholds (e.g., above 98, 102, 103, etc.) each resolve independently based on whether the index meets or exceeds their respective targets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chick-fil-A credit card spend market tracks the current odds of whether October 2026 credit card spending will exceed a certain threshold. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $153. The total volume traded on this market is $42,157. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to consumer spending at Chick-fil-A.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as those forecasts are not readily available for this specific metric. However, the prediction market aggregates the informed opinions of many individuals, potentially offering a more dynamic and up-to-date view of expectations than static analyst reports. If analysts were to predict Chick-fil-A credit card spend, their projections could be compared to the implied probability reflected in this market’s pricing to assess differences in outlook.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Chick-fil-A credit card spend in October 2026 will be above a specific level. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price, the greater the market’s expectation that spend will exceed the threshold, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments to expectations as new information becomes available.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual Chick-fil-A credit card spend for October 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total dollar amount of credit card transactions processed by Chick-fil-A during that month. The market will then determine whether the actual spend exceeded the level defined within the market contract. Traders will be paid out or have their positions closed based on the final outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market’s price. Changes in overall consumer spending habits, macroeconomic indicators like inflation and interest rates, and Chick-fil-A’s promotional activities could all play a role. Any news regarding Chick-fil-A’s expansion plans, menu changes, or marketing campaigns could also move the market. Unexpected events impacting consumer confidence or travel patterns, especially during the fall season, could also shift expectations and affect trading volume in this market.