TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Financials
Chevron Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

Chevron Monthly Credit Card Spend in September

Volume:
$30,424

Above 108

 - Kalshi

Above 108 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 108

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,915
N/A
N/A
$2,609
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 109.5

100%
97%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,907
N/A
N/A
$3,529
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 106.5

100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,593
N/A
N/A
$1,534
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 105

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,904
N/A
N/A
$950
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 103

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,468
N/A
N/A
$1,638
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$579
N/A
N/A
$501
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 111

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,441
N/A
N/A
$2,352
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 113

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,350
N/A
N/A
$422
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 115.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,267
N/A
N/A
$2,616
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

These markets track potential year-over-year growth in Chevron's monthly credit card spending for September 2026, measured against specific thresholds. The outcomes depend on reported data from Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel. Each market corresponds to a different growth level, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of spending increase.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Chevron Monthly Credit Card Spend index for September 2026, comparing it to the same month in the prior year. The index, where 100 represents equal spending year-over-year, uses values above 100 to indicate growth. Each market has a unique threshold (e.g., above 100.5, above 103, etc.), and resolution occurs when the reported index exceeds the respective threshold. The first value reported by Carbon Arc determines the outcome, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded. The index is derived from Carbon Arc’s aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, updated daily. Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with Chevron or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chevron credit card spend market tracks the current odds of whether September 2026 credit card spending will exceed 100.5. You’ll find a price history chart illustrating how the market has valued this outcome over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $9,673, and the total volume traded to date, which is $30,424. This provides a clear view of market activity and sentiment surrounding future Chevron credit card transactions.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Chevron’s credit card spending. However, prediction markets often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from individual expert opinions. If analysts generally predict moderate spending growth, a significantly higher price in this market might indicate traders anticipate factors not fully captured in those forecasts, such as increased consumer confidence or a successful marketing campaign. Conversely, a lower price suggests traders are skeptical of optimistic analyst projections.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will reflect whether Chevron’s actual monthly credit card spend for September 2026 exceeds the 100.5 threshold. The resolution will be based on publicly available data regarding Chevron’s credit card transactions, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price.

Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Major economic indicators, such as consumer spending reports and inflation rates, will likely play a role. News regarding Chevron’s marketing strategies, rewards programs, or partnerships could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected changes in fuel prices or broader economic recessions could impact consumer credit card usage, and therefore, Chevron’s spend. Any significant announcements from Chevron regarding their financial performance or future outlook would also be closely watched by traders in this market.