TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess the performance of Celsius Point of Sale Growth for September 2026, using data from Carbon Arc. The index reflects year-over-year changes in spending, with values above 100 indicating growth compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcomes depend on whether the reported index exceeds specific thresholds.
All markets share a common framework for determining outcomes based on the Carbon Arc Celsius Point of Sale Growth index for September 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold (e.g., above 84, above 87, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the index exceeds the respective threshold. The determination is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026, and any corrections or revisions made after settlement will not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 indicates equal spending to the same month last year, values above 100 show growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Data is collected through Carbon Arc's point-of-sale receipt panel, capturing in-store and online purchases via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available. Kalshi is not affiliated with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Currently, prediction market odds for this market reflect a different perspective than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may weigh in based on company reports and economic indicators, traders on Kalshi are pricing in their own expectations for Celsius's point-of-sale growth in September. The difference between these views can highlight areas of optimism or concern that aren’t fully captured in traditional research.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official announcements or verified data releases that confirm Celsius's point-of-sale growth for September, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including quarterly earnings reports, announcements about new partnerships or product launches, economic data affecting consumer spending, and any regulatory updates impacting Celsius’s operations. Media coverage and investor sentiment surrounding these events may also influence trader behavior and push odds in either direction as the September period approaches.