TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 07d:03h:31m
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These markets track the performance of Celsius Point of Sale Growth for October 2026, comparing sales data to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the growth index exceeds specific thresholds, with higher thresholds representing stronger year-over-year increases.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Celsius Point of Sale Growth index for October 2026, measured as year-over-year change where 100 indicates equal sales to the prior year, values above 100 show growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. The index is calculated using Carbon Arc’s point-of-sale receipt panel, which captures in-store and online purchases through receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the previous year. Determination occurs at 11:59 p.m. ET on the second calendar day after October 2026 ends, using finalized Carbon Arc values. All markets share this resolution methodology, with each market resolving to 'Yes' if the index exceeds its specific threshold (79, 83, 85, 87, 89, 91, or 95). Kalshi is unrelated to Carbon Arc, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Currently, it’s important to note that analyst forecasts for Celsius’s point-of-sale growth in October vary. Some anticipate moderate growth, while others predict a more substantial increase. This market allows for a different type of forecasting—one driven by the wisdom of the crowd and financial incentives. The odds reflect what traders are willing to pay to bet on different outcomes, potentially revealing insights that differ from traditional analyst reports. Comparing these predictions provides a broader perspective on potential growth trajectories.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, similar to traditional financial markets. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of Celsius’s point-of-sale growth in October. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability that traders assign to a specific outcome, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments to the market’s forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official point-of-sale growth figures released by Celsius for the month of October. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual growth rate. It’s important to monitor official announcements from Celsius as the resolution date approaches to understand the data that will be used to determine the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the Celsius POS growth market between now and its resolution. Any significant news regarding Celsius’s overall financial health, new product launches, or changes in the broader cryptocurrency market could impact trading activity. Positive or negative press coverage, announcements about partnerships, or regulatory developments could also shift market sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic indicators that affect consumer spending and retail sales could play a role in shaping expectations for Celsius’s point-of-sale growth.